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Rising Mortgage Rates Seen Returning Housing Market to More Normal Levels - 2006-06-30

McLEAN, VA -- Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market SurveySM (PMMSSM) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.78 percent, with an average 0.5 point, for the week ending June 29, 2006, up from last week’s average of 6.71 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.62 percent. The 30-year FRM has not been higher since May 24, 2002, when it averaged 6.81 percent.

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2778 - John and Jennifer Britty were sullen when they first started looking for a Silicon Valley home in January and found only tear-down fixer-uppers in their price range. Since then, they've had an ironic reversal of fortunes and feelings. "Every time I hear bad economic news, I cheer. I'm sorry, but I want to buy a home," says Jennifer Britty. Now that prices are falling, they are biding their time, saving their cash and hoping Silicon Valley's economic downturn won't erase their jobs. Meanwhile, they are betting home prices still have a way to go before they hit bottom and that soon they will buy more of a home than they first imagined. That may not be a bad bet. While the national real estate market continues to be an island in choppy economic seas, Silicon Valley's housing market has crested and is crashing harder than the wave of price plunges that hit Silicon Valley during the last downturn which began in 1989. That, in part, is because Santa Clara County's jobless rate is up to 4.7 percent and for the first time in six years, surpassed the national rate of 4.5 percent. The area's housing market is suffering year-to-year price declines, values are down by double digits and most homes sell for less than asking. Read this Nemmar Real Estate Training article at Real Estate - State and Local

 

The average for the 15-year FRM this week is 6.43 percent, with an average 0.5 point, up from last week’s average of 6.36 percent. A year ago, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.20 percent. The 15-year FRM has not been higher since April 12, 2002, when it averaged 6.49 percent.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 6.39 percent this week, with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 6.32 percent. A year ago, the five-year ARM averaged 5.19 percent. This is the highest the 5-year ARM has been since Freddie Mac started tracking it on January 6, 2005.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 5.82 percent this week, with an average 0.8 point, also up from last week when it averaged 5.75 percent. At this time last year, the one-year ARM averaged 4.33 percent. The 1-year ARM has not been higher since the week ending June 8, 2001, when it averaged 5.85 percent.

"Financial markets continue to expect more rate hikes by the Fed over the next six months, which has added upward pressure on mortgage rates," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. "With higher interest rates, the housing market has begun a gradual and orderly reversion towards historical norms. For instance, new construction, home sales and house price appreciation have all been slowing over the past few months."

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