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Inflation Indications Ease Allowing Mortgage Rates To Drop Again - 2006-08-04

Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market SurveySM (PMMSSM) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.63 percent, with an average 0.3 point, for the week ending August 2, 2006, down from last week's average of 6.72 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.82 percent.

The average for the 15-year FRM this week is 6.27 percent, with an average 0.3 point, down from last week's average of 6.34 percent. A year ago, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.38 percent.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 6.27 percent this week, with an average 0.4 point, down from last week when it averaged 6.35 percent. A year ago, the five-year ARM averaged 5.30 percent.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 5.69 percent this week, with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 5.78 percent. At this time last year, the one-year ARM averaged 4.47 percent.

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5533 - There's been plenty of press lately on softening markets around the country and now there are more articles finding ink about how the real estate bubble isn't really a bubble, hasn't burst and is more likely just seeping out some air. I've had a Google News Alert established for months now on "real estate bubble." It's amazing how many local newspapers keep reporting about the bubble – somewhere else. Not in Florida, Texas, North Carolina., etc., but somewhere else – those poor people. Then today's search results brought in these headlines: "Proof that the real estate bubble hasn't burst" "A challenge to real estate bubble reports" "The real-estate bubble media coverage bubble" "Bye-bye bubble" "Self-correction of real estate bubble" In reading the articles they all seem to be saying, "Um … wait a minute, we may have overreacted to the bubble stories and now it's not a story." Through deeper reading, you'll find industry watchers and insiders have come out with the big guns in the area of statistical analysis. Without statistics, business people don't move forward and these stats have been showing that in many places across the country, there are some very strong markets taking a breather, but by no means has any bubble popped. Read this Nemmar Real Estate Training article at Tenants, Landlords, Multifamily, Commercial

 

"Second quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in weaker than the market had expected. This means inflation is less of a threat, and that translates into lower mortgage rates," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. "Although lower rates are a welcome sight, we still feel that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate will drift up and down somewhat over the next few months, but will average less than seven percent for the year. "

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