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May Housing Starts Virtually Unchanged From April - 6/21/2004 - Mortgage Loan Refinance Debt Equity

May Housing Starts Virtually Unchanged From April

The nation’s housing market continues to fire on all cylinders, according to May housing starts figures reported by the Commerce Department last week. Housing starts hit a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 1.97 million units, which was down less than 1% from April’s upwardly revised 1.98 million-unit pace.

 

“While the overall starts number was essentially flat, both single-family starts and building permits chalked up significant gains last month,” said NAHB President Bobby Rayburn.

Single-family housing starts rose 1.4% in the month to a historically healthy seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.64 million units. Building permits were up 3.5% overall to a 30-year high of 2.08 million units in May, with single-family permits rising 3.0% to their highest rate on record — 1.59 million units.

NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders noted that average new-home production for the second quarter this year was “running at or above par with the very solid first quarter” and saw no signs of any systematic weakening.

 
 

“As anticipated, the effects of the strengthening economy and job market, along with attractive increases in house values, evidently are overriding the higher interest-rate structure as an influence on home buyers,” Seiders said.

Multifamily starts recorded a nearly 10% dip to a 327,000-unit rate, but strong permit issuance in that sector indicates an impending bounce-back. Permit issuance for multifamily units was up for the third consecutive month in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 487,000 units.

Regionally, three of four regions reported declines in housing starts. The West reported a substantial gain, two regions reported increased building permits and two reported declines in permit issuance.

April-May averages revealed significant strength across the board. For the first two months of the second quarter, the pace of housing starts surpassed the first-quarter pace in the Northeast and West and equaled the pace set in the Midwest and South. In terms of building permits, the April-May average surpassed the first-quarter pace in every region.

“Given the solid fundamentals of this marketplace, including relatively thin inventories of unsold units, great house-price performance — for both single-family homes and condos — and excellent demographic projections, we are currently forecasting 1.9 million starts for all of 2004, up about 5% from last year,” said Seiders.


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